隧道股份(600820)盈利预测_机构预测_爱股网

隧道股份(600820)盈利预测

千股千评 机构评级 盈利预测 业绩预告 个股测评

隧道股份(600820)盈利预测

◆预测指标◆

指标名称2022(实际)2023(实际)2024(实际)2025(预测)2026(预测)2027(预测)
每股收益(元)0.910.940.900.951.001.06
每股净资产(元)8.769.219.7411.7212.4613.29
净利润(万元)285536.05294513.56284102.42299768.45316188.52331980.81
净利润增长率(%)19.323.14-3.545.205.455.50
营业收入(万元)7229693.177421566.666881554.077233106.417652202.078037908.41
营收增长率(%)16.182.65-7.284.375.725.86
销售毛利率(%)12.2510.2912.1511.8511.8511.88
摊薄净资产收益率(%)10.3710.179.278.128.067.93
市盈率PE4.965.607.616.646.306.02
市净值PB0.510.570.710.550.520.48

◆预测明细◆

报告日期机构名称评级每股收益

2025预测2026预测2027预测

净利润(万元)

2025预测2026预测2027预测

2025-11-17国泰海通证券买入0.930.971.02292700.00306100.00321400.00
2025-11-13长江证券买入0.920.960.97290800.00302700.00306200.00
2025-11-05国盛证券买入0.920.971.03287900.00306300.00323000.00
2025-11-01华泰证券买入0.950.991.04298300.00312300.00325700.00
2025-10-31华源证券买入0.951.011.07299600.00316200.00336400.00
2025-09-15国泰海通证券买入0.961.011.06301200.00317700.00333700.00
2025-09-02华源证券买入0.951.011.07299600.00316200.00336400.00
2025-08-28华泰证券买入0.950.991.04298300.00312300.00325700.00
2025-08-28天风证券买入0.981.071.18309668.00336907.00371105.00
2025-08-28财通证券增持0.920.971.06290200.00306000.00332400.00
2025-08-28中信建投买入0.940.971.01294227.00305582.00318289.00
2025-08-27国盛证券买入0.920.971.03287900.00305900.00322500.00
2025-07-25中信建投买入0.940.971.01294227.00305582.00318289.00
2025-07-11天风证券买入0.981.071.18309668.00336907.00371105.00
2025-05-18国泰海通证券买入0.961.011.06301200.00317700.00333700.00
2025-05-09长江证券买入0.971.051.12304500.00329100.00351100.00
2025-05-07长江证券买入0.971.041.11304500.00328300.00350300.00
2025-04-30开源证券买入1.021.051.05322100.00331300.00329400.00
2025-04-29华泰证券买入0.950.991.04298300.00312300.00325700.00
2025-04-28华源证券买入0.951.001.05298500.00313800.00330400.00
2025-04-28银河证券买入0.971.051.16305000.00330100.00365000.00
2025-04-27中信建投买入0.940.971.01294227.00305582.00318289.00
2025-04-27财通证券增持0.910.941.00286700.00296300.00315400.00
2025-04-27东方财富证券增持0.920.961.01290000.00302800.00316800.00
2025-04-27华泰证券买入0.950.991.04298300.00312300.00325700.00
2025-04-26天风证券买入0.981.071.18309668.00336907.00371105.00
2025-04-25国盛证券买入0.910.920.92287600.00287900.00288400.00
2025-04-08华源证券买入1.031.10-325100.00345000.00-
2025-02-27东方财富证券增持1.001.06-313300.00333400.00-
2024-11-12长江证券买入1.031.101.16323800.00346400.00365300.00
2024-11-10国泰君安买入0.971.011.04306100.00317000.00327300.00
2024-11-01华泰证券买入1.001.061.12314500.00334100.00352900.00
2024-10-31财通证券增持0.951.001.06298200.00315300.00331700.00
2024-10-31国盛证券买入0.960.991.00302700.00310700.00315500.00
2024-10-31开源证券买入0.981.021.06306900.00322000.00333000.00
2024-10-31天风证券买入0.961.061.18302845.00334106.00370076.00
2024-10-31民生证券增持0.961.021.08301400.00320300.00338400.00
2024-10-30银河证券买入0.951.021.10299800.00319200.00345700.00
2024-10-19国盛证券买入0.960.991.03303300.00312200.00325200.00
2024-10-11中信建投买入1.021.091.17319948.00344047.00369212.00
2024-09-13长江证券买入1.031.101.16323800.00345500.00364400.00
2024-09-09东方财富证券增持1.041.141.25327500.00358000.00392300.00
2024-08-30银河证券买入0.971.071.16305400.00337200.00365000.00
2024-08-28中信建投买入1.021.091.17319948.00344047.00369212.00
2024-08-28开源证券买入0.981.021.06306900.00322000.00333000.00
2024-08-28天风证券买入1.031.141.27323991.00358649.00398873.00
2024-08-28方正证券增持1.031.121.22322700.00351700.00384900.00
2024-08-28广发证券买入1.011.111.23319000.00350400.00385600.00
2024-08-27财通证券增持0.951.001.05298216.00315335.00331674.00
2024-07-31广发证券买入1.021.121.23319400.00351700.00387900.00
2024-07-17长江证券买入1.031.101.16323800.00345700.00364600.00
2024-07-16中信建投买入1.021.091.17319948.00344047.00369212.00
2024-07-16开源证券买入0.981.021.06306900.00322000.00333000.00
2024-05-22长江证券买入1.031.101.16323800.00345700.00364600.00
2024-05-05长江证券买入1.031.101.16323800.00345700.00364600.00
2024-04-30开源证券买入0.981.021.06306900.00322000.00333000.00
2024-04-30天风证券买入1.031.141.27323991.00358649.00398873.00
2024-04-23国泰君安买入1.021.101.17320800.00345200.00367700.00
2024-04-21中信建投买入1.021.091.17319948.00344047.00369212.00
2024-04-21财通证券增持1.021.081.13319424.00338775.00354041.00
2024-04-21开源证券买入0.981.021.06306900.00322000.00333000.00
2024-04-20天风证券买入1.031.141.27323991.00358649.00398873.00
2024-04-20华泰证券买入1.001.061.12314500.00334100.00352900.00
2024-04-20兴业证券增持1.051.161.28330130.09364715.15402444.30
2024-04-19银河证券买入1.011.101.20318100.00346200.00378700.00
2024-04-12兴业证券增持1.051.16-330130.09364715.15-
2024-04-05天风证券买入0.991.11-312453.00349004.00-
2024-03-26民生证券增持1.071.15-336100.00363000.00-
2024-02-05开源证券买入1.101.16-344900.00365400.00-
2024-01-23中信建投买入1.061.17-332834.00368555.00-
2024-01-12中信建投买入1.061.17-332834.00368555.00-
2024-01-08华泰证券买入1.041.12-327100.00351600.00-
2024-01-04中信建投买入1.061.17-332834.00368555.00-
2023-11-01国泰君安买入0.981.071.15308500.00336000.00361800.00
2023-10-31财通证券增持0.981.071.22307000.00336600.00384900.00
2023-10-30兴业证券增持0.961.031.11302200.00324800.00349700.00
2023-10-28银河证券买入0.991.121.28311400.00351600.00402000.00
2023-08-29银河证券买入0.991.17-310300.00368200.00-
2023-08-27财通证券增持1.031.191.41324000.00373300.00443900.00
2023-05-18国泰君安买入0.981.071.15309400.00336800.00363100.00
2023-05-06财通证券增持1.031.191.41324000.00373900.00444600.00
2023-05-05中金公司买入1.031.19-325000.00374000.00-
2023-04-26兴业证券增持0.921.031.13290200.00324400.00354100.00
2022-10-27西南证券买入0.830.981.15260100.00309600.00361400.00
2022-08-29银河证券买入0.90--283700.00--
2022-08-26招商证券买入1.270.931.07399000.00292800.00335300.00
2022-05-30招商证券买入0.800.911.05250400.00286800.00330600.00
2022-05-10银河证券买入0.820.89-257300.00281200.00-
2022-05-04中金公司买入0.820.91-258000.00286000.00-
2022-04-28西南证券买入0.860.991.12271500.00311400.00353200.00
2022-04-26国泰君安买入0.820.890.95258800.00278700.00297200.00
2022-04-26兴业证券增持0.820.880.94259000.00277400.00296900.00
2021-11-08国泰君安买入0.800.890.98253100.00281300.00309300.00
2021-10-28银河证券买入0.760.81-238951.30254671.78-
2021-09-01银河证券买入0.780.85-245239.50267248.17-
2021-08-25国泰君安买入0.850.961.08268300.00303400.00340800.00
2021-05-31国泰君安买入0.790.870.93249500.00273800.00290900.00
2021-05-30国泰君安买入0.790.870.93249500.00273800.00290900.00
2021-05-06申万宏源增持0.780.830.89244900.00262000.00280300.00
2021-05-03中金公司-0.780.85-245500.00267300.00-

隧道股份(600820)机构盈利预测明细

◆研报摘要◆

●2025-11-05 隧道股份:季报点评:Q3毛利率显著回升,投资收益影响短期业绩(国盛证券 何亚轩,程龙戈,廖文强)
●据我公司当前在手及新签订单情况,们预预公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为28.8/30.6/32.3亿元,同增1.3%/6.4%/5.4%,对应EPS分别为0.92/0.97/1.03元/股,当前股价PE分别为7.3/6.9/6.5倍,维持“买入”评级。
●2025-11-01 隧道股份:季报点评:Q4投资收益影响有望减弱(华泰证券 黄颖,方晏荷,王玺杰,樊星辰)
●考虑到公司一般前三季度利润占比较小,Q4占比约50%左右,我们认为Q4投资收益影响减弱,主业毛利率持续提升,利润同比有望实现较好增长,维持公司25-27年归母净利润为29.83/31.23/32.57亿元。采用分部估值法,根据可比均值,给予公司25年施工/信息化运营/重资产运营(净利分别为22.6/2.0/5.2亿)8.5/32/13xPE,上调目标价至10.3元(前值9.82元,对应25年分部可比均值8/30/13xPE),维持“买入”评级。
●2025-10-31 隧道股份:联营投资拖累短期利润,订单与毛利率双升展现修复动能(华源证券 王彬鹏,戴铭余,郦悦轩)
●我们预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为29.96/31.62/33.64亿元,同比增速分别为5.46%/5.52%/6.42%,当前股价对应的PE分别为6.93/6.56/6.17倍。考虑到公司区域市场优势稳固、海外业务拓展提速,同时维持高分红水平,我们认为公司经营韧性与估值优势兼备,维持“买入”评级。
●2025-09-02 隧道股份:25Q2利润显著改善,高分红与新兴布局共塑长期成长性(华源证券 王彬鹏,戴铭余,郦悦轩)
●我们预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为29.96/31.62/33.64亿元,同比增速分别为5.46%/5.52%/6.42%,当前股价对应的PE分别为6.85/6.49/6.10倍。考虑到公司区域市场优势稳固、海外业务拓展提速,同时维持高分红水平,我们认为公司经营韧性与估值优势兼备,维持“买入”评级。
●2025-08-28 隧道股份:中报点评:下半年经营有望持续改善(华泰证券 黄颖,方晏荷,王玺杰,樊星辰)
●我们维持公司25-27年归母净利润为29.83/31.23/32.57亿元。采用分部估值法,根据可比均值,维持给予公司25年施工/信息化运营/重资产运营(净利分别为22.6/2.0/5.2亿)8/30/13xPE,上调目标价至9.82元(前值9.24元,对应25年分部可比均值7/27/15xPE),维持“买入”评级。

◆同行业研报摘要◆行业:土木工程

●2025-11-16 中国电建:收入稳健提升,水电与风电合同表现亮眼(银河证券 龙天光)
●2025Q3公司实现营收1463.49亿元,同比增长3.84%;实现归母净利润20.47亿元,同比下降17.51%,实现扣非归母净利润17.08亿元,同比增长1.45%。预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为120.43、125.53、129.81亿元,分别同比0.2%/4.2%/3.4%,对应P/E分别为8.14/7.81/7.55倍,维持“推荐”评级。
●2025-11-15 中国能建:收入稳健提升,境外与新能源合同表现亮眼(银河证券 龙天光)
●实现归母净利润31.56亿元,同比下降12.43%;实现扣非归母净利润26.25亿元,同比下降7.76%。2025年前三季度经营活动产生的现金流量净额为-91.10亿元,同比少流出34.08亿元。预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为84.94、86.64、88.05亿元,分别同比1.2%/2.0%/1.6%,对应P/E分别为11.93/11.69/11.51倍,维持“推荐”评级。
●2025-11-14 中油工程:海外管道业务拖累业绩,累计新签合同同比增长(国信证券 杨林,董丙旭)
●我们维持此前盈利预测,预计公司2025-2027年营业收入为899.92/944.92/982.97亿元,归母净利润为7.33/8.23/8.50亿元,EPS为0.13/0.15/0.15元/股,对应当前股价PE为28.64/25.52/24.70X,给与“优于大市”评级。
●2025-11-14 中国铁建:经营现金流改善,境外订单高增长(银河证券 龙天光)
●预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为223.55、230.58、237.06亿元,分别同比0.6%/3.1%/2.8%,对应P/E分别为4.88/4.73/4.6倍,维持“推荐”评级。
●2025-11-14 中国中铁:新签合同稳健提升,境外订单增速快(银河证券 龙天光)
●预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为264.25、274.77、283.83亿元,分别同比-5.2%/4.0%/3.3%,对应P/E分别为5.36/5.15/4.99倍,维持“推荐”评级。2025Q3,公司实现营业总收入2,635.57亿元,同比下降4.43%;实现归母净利润56.64亿元,同比下降9.98%;实现扣非净利润49.33亿元,同比下降16.61%。
●2025-11-13 中国交建:经营现金流改善,新兴业务合同表现亮眼(银河证券 龙天光)
●预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为228.38、236.72、243.91亿元,分别同比-2.3%/+3.7%/+3.0%,对应P/E分别为6.29/6.07/5.89倍,维持“推荐”评级。
●2025-11-12 上海建工:现金流持续改善,有望受益上海建筑业整合(兴业证券 黄杨,李明,季贤东)
●我们预计公司2025-2027年的归母净利润分别为19.30亿元/20.20亿元/21.15亿元,EPS分别为0.22元/0.23元/0.24元,11月11日收盘价对应PE分别为13.6倍/13.0倍/12.4倍,维持“增持”评级。
●2025-11-12 中材国际:收入稳健增长,海外表现亮眼(兴业证券 黄杨,李明,季贤东)
●预计公司2025-2027年的归母净利润分别为30.98/33.65/35.54亿元,EPS分别为1.18元/1.28元/1.36元,11月11日收盘价对应的PE分别为8.1倍、7.5倍、7.1倍,维持“增持”评级。
●2025-11-12 中国化学:盈利能力提升,现金流持续改善(兴业证券 黄杨,李明,季贤东)
●我们预计公司2025-2027年的归母净利润分别为62.59亿元/68.50亿元/75.03亿元,EPS分别为1.02元/1.12元/1.23元,11月11日收盘价对应PE分别为7.9倍/7.2倍/6.6倍,维持“增持”评级。
●2025-11-12 中国铁建:25Q3业绩增速转正,现金流改善(兴业证券 黄杨,李明,季贤东)
●我们预计公司2025-2027年的归母净利润分别为213.79亿元/217.84亿元/221.37亿元,EPS分别为1.57元/1.60元/1.63元,11月11日收盘价对应PE分别为5.1倍/5.0倍/4.9倍,维持“增持”评级。
操作说明:手指放在表上左右滑动可以查看全表或全图。